Global Macro Perspectives
Baltic dry index rose 3.2% last week; Capesize Index gained 14.2%; Panamax Index fell -1.2%; Handysizes and Supramax Indexes gained -3.6% and -1.6% respectively. Positive recent developments: Russia grain export ban – increasing ton-mile relation; India imposing additional iron ore export tariffs – also increasing ton-mile relation; improved China steel prices and reduced China steel stockpiles. Negative recent developments: All time […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 2.1%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 4.5%. Arabian Gulf tonnage supply at 8 year high. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Working gas in storage rose 29 Bcf from previous week. Definitely getting more and more interesting… Chart 1. Natural Gas Futures Chart 2. Working Gas in Underground Storage Compared with 5 Year Average
Crude oil stocks fell 2.8 million barrels for week ending July 30; Gasoline stocks rose 0.7 million barrels; Distillate stocks increased 2.2 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks rose 2.1 million barrels; Other oils stocks rose 3.8 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 61 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization rose […]
Number of crude oil drilling rigs rose for 12 for the week ending July 23, 2010; Number of natural gas drilling rigs fell for 10 rigs in the same time frame. Chart 1. Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Change Chart 2. Baker Hughes Weekly U.S. Rig Count Chart 3. Baker Hughes Monthly World Rig Count
Baltic dry index rose 7.7% last week; Capesize Index gained 12.5%; Panamax Index rose 11.4%; Supramax and Handysizes Indexes gained 0.9% and 3.3% respectively. Rates are rising a bit as some ship owners choose to anchor their ships rather than lose money on chartering them. Chinese iron ore and steel prices rose last week, bringing some optimism to the markets. […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 7.5%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 5.5%. Nothing new here…supply overweighting demand. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Crude oil stocks rose 7.3 million barrels for week ending July 16; Gasoline stocks remained unchanged; Distillate stocks increased 0.9 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks rose 0.5 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 9.0 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization fell from 91.5% to 90.6%. Implied crude oil demand was […]
Number of crude oil drilling rigs rose for 11 for the week ending July 23, 2010; Number of natural gas drilling rigs rose for 3 rigs in the same time frame. Chart 1. Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Change Chart 2. Baker Hughes Weekly U.S. Rig Count Chart 3. Baker Hughes Monthly World Rig Count
Baltic dry index rose 6.2% last week; Capesize Index gained 1.9%; Panamax Index rose 12.9%; Supramax and Handysizes Indexes gained 4.6% and 3.6% respectively. Commodore Research July 21, 2010: One of the most troubling signs in the Chinese economy at the moment is therecent (and relatively long-lasting) decline in steel prices. Steel prices have fallen consistently since theend […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index rose 3.5%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index rose 0.6%. Again, soft markets, supply eased a little bit, but still high. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Working gas in storage rose 51 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at 51 Bcf. Chart 1. Natural Gas Futures Chart 2. Working Gas in Underground Storage Compared with 5 Year Average Chart 3. Natural Gas Futures Curve
Crude oil stocks rose 0.4 million barrels for week ending July 16; Gasoline stocks rose 1.1 million barrels; Distillate stocks increased 3.9 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks rose 0.9 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 5.1 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization rose from 90.5% to 91.5%. Highest since August 2007. Implied […]
Floating at (a temporary) bottom… Chart 1. Baltic Dry Index
Not looking particularly strong… Chart 1. Baltic Dry Index