U.S. Petroleum Weekly – 02 December 2009

Crude oil stocks increased 2.1 million barrels; Gasoline stocks rose 4 million barrels; Distillate stocks fell  1.2 million barrels; Other oils flat; Total crude oil and petroleum products ending stocks up 5.9 million barrels.

Refinery utilization rate again below 80%: at 70.66%. Last weeks tick up in utilization caused gasoline stocks rising.

Total crude oil and petroleum products net imports at 9.4 million barrels vs. 9.6 million barrels the week before.

All in all nothing has changed, demand doesn’t seem to be recovering. Stocks moderately increased. This corroborates my view that the crude oil is overpriced; looking for a short position entry point at top end of the recent trading range.

Chart 1. Change in U.S. Crude Oil and Distillates Stocks

Source: EIA

Source: EIA


Chart 2. U.S. Total Crude Oil, Gasoline and Distillate Ending Stocks

Source: EIA

Source: EIA

Chart 3. U.S. Refinery Capacity, Inputs, and Production

Source: EIA

Source: EIA

Chart 4. Weekly U.S. Total Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Imports and Exports

Source: EIA

Source: EIA

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