Archive for September 8th, 2009

Optimism, Optimism…

Optimism is a flavor of the day. Nice article by Bloomberg showing disparity between analysts and economists. Bloomberg link: Stocks Show Why Analysts Dismiss Economists on Growth. Not that I think that either of them will be right at the end of the day, but it’s interesting to look at the dilemmas the market is in. Its pretty obvious, given the run we had, no analyst wants to look like an idiot having bearish reports so they are chasing the market. On the other side you have economists who are analytical guys; who don’t want to believe that anything beside predicted by their models will happen and those prospects don’t look good. And we have also corporate insiders who are selling and companies that are issuing shares. Bloomberg link: Mobius Spurns Brazil Share Offers as Gol Seeks Sale. (disregard Mr. Mobius statements as he probably trades opposite his statements). Being skeptical and contrarian by nature the market looks overly optimistic to me, but given the sentiment it could go further higher.

 

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